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Alan's Economics Commons

Reactions and Equilibrium

Puzzle 1. Race to 7

Two people take turns counting numbers starting from 1. You cannot skip numbers or repeat numbers. On each turn, a player may say one or two consecutive whole numbers. Whoever is first to say 7 wins.

Puzzle 2. Cutting the Cake

Buzz Lightyear and Woody are sharing one big cake. Both want a bigger piece.

Buzz Lightyear and Woody with a cake

Puzzle 3. KFC & McDonald’s

KFC and McDonald’s plan to open their first store on a new street. There are two popular locations:

Both companies must decide at the same time: “Shall we open at Center, or Side?” Neither knows what the other will choose.

KFC \ McDonald’sCenterSide
CenterKFC +5, McDonald’s +5KFC +10, McDonald’s +2
SideKFC +2, McDonald’s +10KFC +7, McDonald’s +7
A payoff diagram for KFC and McDonald's location choices

Puzzle 4. The Green Eyes

On an island live three people with perfect logic.

Three islanders on the green-eyes island

Rules:

  1. Everyone can see the eye colour of all other people.
  2. No one can see their own eye colour.
  3. No one on the island may talk about eye colour.
  4. All people are perfectly rational. Everyone knows everyone else is perfectly rational.
  5. If anyone works out that they have green eyes, they must leave the island at midnight the same day.
  6. If they cannot be certain, they stay.
A visitor speaking to the islanders

Facts:

One day, a visitor comes and speaks publicly to everyone:

“I see at least one person with blue eyes.”

Puzzle 5. The Best Wand

You represent your wizard school in a fight against two other wizards:

Three wizards preparing for a contest

The three take turns attacking in this fixed order: You → Newt-niz Wizard → Leib-ton Witch → You → … Anyone who gets hit is out of the fight.

It is your turn first. You must pick one wand from three choices:

WandPowerSuccess rate
BannekarTrap one target with vines60%
GaussianTurn one target into a tree80%
Noether 9000Send one target far away to a mountain top100%
The three wand options
A diagram of the wizard contest choices

A note for the next move

Each puzzle asks the same quiet question: if everyone can react to everyone else, what choice still makes sense? That is where strategic thinking begins.